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Philadelphia Phillies
1
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
0
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Phillies · 5 H, 0 EReds · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Noelvi Marte grounds out, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 9Tyler Stephenson strikes out swinging.
bot 9Eugenio Suárez strikes out swinging.
bot 9Spencer Steer hit by pitch.
bot 9JJ Bleday singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Derek Hill flies out to center fielder TJ Friedl.
top 9Bryson Stott flies out to center fielder TJ Friedl.
top 9Alec Bohm pops out to first baseman Spencer Steer in foul territory.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Marsh 2-4 · Justin Crawford 1-3, 1 RBI · Bryson Stott 1-4
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
TJ Friedl 1-3 · Tyler Stephenson 1-4 · JJ Bleday 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.