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Philadelphia Phillies
4
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
1
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789311
Phillies · 8 H, 0 EReds · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Tyler Stephenson strikes out swinging.
bot 9Spencer Steer singles on a ground ball to pitcher Jhoan Duran.
bot 9Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
top 9Trea Turner lines out to center fielder TJ Friedl.
top 9Justin Crawford strikes out swinging.
top 9Derek Hill singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl.
top 9Bryson Stott grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 8Eugenio Suárez strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Schwarber 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Justin Crawford 2-4 · Derek Hill 2-3
Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Eugenio Suárez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Sal Stewart 1-4 · Spencer Steer 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.