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Philadelphia Phillies
5
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
11
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 8 H, 0 EReds · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Gabriel Rincones Jr. grounds out, pitcher Rhett Lowder to first baseman Spencer Steer.
top 9Alec Bohm singles on a ground ball to right fielder Noelvi Marte.
top 9Bryson Stott strikes out swinging.
top 9Brandon Marsh grounds out, second baseman Edwin Arroyo to first baseman Spencer Steer.
top 9Kyle Schwarber homers (32) on a fly ball to right field.511
bot 8Noelvi Marte strikes out swinging.
bot 8Spencer Steer doubles (13) on a line drive to right fielder Gabriel Rincones Jr.
bot 8Eugenio Suárez strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
J.T. Realmuto 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kyle Schwarber 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Justin Crawford 2-3, 1 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 2-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Noelvi Marte 2-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.