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Baltimore Orioles
2
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
3
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 7 H, 0 EReds · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Adley Rutschman lines out to center fielder TJ Friedl.
top 9Gunnar Henderson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder JJ Bleday. Dylan Beavers scores.23
top 9Blaze Alexander singles on a ground ball to left fielder JJ Bleday. Dylan Beavers to 3rd. Jackson Holliday to 2nd.
top 9Leody Taveras strikes out swinging.
top 9Dylan Beavers walks.
bot 8JJ Bleday pops out to third baseman Blaze Alexander in foul territory.
bot 8Sal Stewart doubles (21) on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Edwin Arroyo scores.13
bot 8Elly De La Cruz strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Blaze Alexander 3-4 · Taylor Ward 2-4 · Adley Rutschman 1-5
Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Steer 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tyler Stephenson 2-3 · Sal Stewart 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.