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Baltimore Orioles
3
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
0
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 4 H, 0 EReds · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Elly De La Cruz grounds out, first baseman Pete Alonso to pitcher Tyler Wells.
bot 9Edwin Arroyo grounds out to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 9TJ Friedl strikes out swinging.
top 9Dylan Beavers grounds out, pitcher Julian Garcia to first baseman Spencer Steer.
top 9Samuel Basallo flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.
top 9Pete Alonso flies out to right fielder Noelvi Marte in foul territory.
bot 8Tyler Stephenson grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8JJ Bleday flies out to left fielder Taylor Ward.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 9 batters faced over the last two days
Samuel Basallo 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Taylor Ward 1-3 · Adley Rutschman 1-4
Cincinnati Reds
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Elly De La Cruz 1-3 · Noelvi Marte 1-4 · Spencer Steer 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.