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Baltimore Orioles
8
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
5
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 10 H, 0 EReds · 11 H, 0 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nathaniel Lowe flies out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
bot 9Eugenio Suárez flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
bot 9JJ Bleday pops out to third baseman Blaze Alexander in foul territory.
bot 9Sal Stewart walks. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd.
bot 9Elly De La Cruz singles on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward.
top 9Leody Taveras pops out to third baseman Eugenio Suárez.
top 9Colton Cowser flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.
top 9Rhett Lowder intentionally walks Samuel Basallo.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Samuel Basallo 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Pete Alonso 3-3, 1 RBI · Adley Rutschman 2-5, 2 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Jose Trevino 3-4, 1 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 2-4, 1 RBI · Eugenio Suárez 2-5, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.