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New York Mets
0
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
12
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789363
Mets · 6 H, 0 EReds · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Vidal Bruján strikes out swinging.
top 9Bo Bichette grounds out, shortstop Matt McLain to first baseman Spencer Steer.
top 9Carson Benge flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.
bot 8Sal Stewart grounds out, third baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Eric Wagaman.
bot 8JJ Bleday homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Matt McLain scores. Tyler Stephenson scores.012
bot 8Blake Dunn flies out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
bot 8Edwin Arroyo lines out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
bot 8Tyler Stephenson singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Vidal Bruján. Matt McLain to 2nd.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 3-5 · Francisco Alvarez 1-4 · Mark Vientos 1-2
Cincinnati Reds
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Eugenio Suárez 2-4, 2 HR, 6 RBI · JJ Bleday 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Tyler Stephenson 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.