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Arizona Diamondbacks
5
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
3
0% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 7 H, 1 EReds · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Blake Dunn lines out to left fielder Jordan Lawlar.
bot 9Edwin Arroyo pops out to third baseman Nolan Arenado.
bot 9Will Benson strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Matt McLain walks.
top 9Gabriel Moreno flies out to right fielder Noelvi Marte.
top 9Corbin Carroll lines out to second baseman Edwin Arroyo.
top 9Ketel Marte singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Dunn. LuJames Groover scores.53
top 9Jorge Barrosa out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Chris Paddack to first baseman Spencer Steer. LuJames Groover to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Geraldo Perdomo 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tommy Troy 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Gabriel Moreno 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Noelvi Marte 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · JJ Bleday 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nathaniel Lowe 2-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.