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Arizona Diamondbacks
5
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
2
0% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 7 H, 1 EReds · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Sal Stewart grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
bot 9JJ Bleday flies out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
bot 9Dane Myers strikes out swinging.
top 9LuJames Groover flies out sharply to left fielder Blake Dunn.
top 9Jordan Lawlar singles on a fly ball to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Geraldo Perdomo scores.52
top 9Geraldo Perdomo reaches on a fielding error by left fielder Blake Dunn. Gabriel Moreno scores. Ildemaro Vargas to 3rd. Geraldo Perdomo to 2nd.32
top 9Brock Burke intentionally walks Ildemaro Vargas.
top 9Nolan Arenado flies out to right fielder Noelvi Marte.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Lawlar 2-4, 2 RBI · LuJames Groover 1-3, 1 RBI · Ketel Marte 1-5
Cincinnati Reds
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Noelvi Marte 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Eugenio Suárez 2-4 · JJ Bleday 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.