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Arizona Diamondbacks
1
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
2
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 7 H, 0 EReds · 3 H, 1 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nolan Arenado grounds out, shortstop Edwin Arroyo to first baseman Spencer Steer.
top 9Gabriel Moreno grounds out, shortstop Edwin Arroyo to first baseman Spencer Steer.
top 9Corbin Carroll grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Spencer Steer.
bot 8Matt McLain strikes out swinging.
bot 8Tyler Stephenson strikes out swinging.
bot 8Noelvi Marte homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.12
bot 8Eugenio Suárez called out on strikes.
top 8Ketel Marte grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Corbin Carroll 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ketel Marte 2-4 · Gabriel Moreno 2-4
Cincinnati Reds
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Noelvi Marte 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Matt McLain 1-3 · Edwin Arroyo 1-2, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.