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Kansas City Royals
5
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
2
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 9 H, 0 EReds · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Blake Dunn flies out to center fielder Lane Thomas.
bot 9Noelvi Marte walks.
bot 9Edwin Arroyo called out on strikes.
bot 9Will Benson strikes out swinging.
bot 9Spencer Steer doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Salvador Perez strikes out swinging.
top 9Zach McCambley intentionally walks Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Lane Thomas to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Vinnie Pasquantino 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nick Loftin 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Massey 2-4, 1 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 55 batters faced over the last two days
Blake Dunn 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Dane Myers 1-1 · Sal Stewart 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.