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Kansas City Royals
9
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
2
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 13 H, 0 EReds · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9JJ Bleday strikes out swinging.
bot 9Will Benson walks.
bot 9Matt McLain doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Edwin Arroyo scores.92
bot 9Edwin Arroyo singles on a line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas.
bot 9Tyler Stephenson strikes out swinging.
bot 9Spencer Steer strikes out swinging.
top 9Kyle Isbel grounds into a double play, second baseman Edwin Arroyo to shortstop Matt McLain to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Michael Massey out at 2nd. Kyle Isbel out at 1st.
top 9Nick Loftin out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Will Benson. Lane Thomas scores.91

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Massey 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Lane Thomas 3-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Jac Caglianone 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Bleday 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Sal Stewart 1-4 · Matt McLain 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.