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Kansas City Royals
3
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
4
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 5 H, 0 EReds · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Blake Dunn singles on a line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Spencer Steer scores.34
bot 10TJ Friedl strikes out swinging.
top 10Kyle Isbel strikes out swinging.
top 10Jac Caglianone lines out softly to shortstop Edwin Arroyo.
top 10Nick Loftin walks.
top 10Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Carter Jensen to 3rd.
bot 9Spencer Steer strikes out swinging.
bot 9Eugenio Suárez walks. Sal Stewart to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler Tolbert 1-2 · Salvador Perez 1-4 · Nick Loftin 1-4
Cincinnati Reds
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 49 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Steer 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Will Benson 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Blake Dunn 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.