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Washington Nationals
1
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
15
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 3 H, 0 EReds · 14 H, 3 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nasim Nuñez flies out to center fielder Dane Myers.
top 9Daylen Lile grounds out, second baseman Spencer Steer to first baseman Sal Stewart.
top 9Jacob Young flies out to right fielder Blake Dunn.
bot 8Blake Dunn flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.
bot 8JJ Bleday singles on a fly ball to right fielder José Tena. Will Benson scores. Sal Stewart to 3rd.115
bot 8Spencer Steer flies out to right fielder José Tena. Will Benson to 3rd.
bot 8Sal Stewart walks.
bot 8Will Benson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 52 batters faced over the last two days
Drew Millas 1-3 · Jorbit Vivas 1-2 · Luis García Jr. 1-2
Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 49 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Bleday 3-5, 2 HR, 6 RBI · Matt McLain 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Dane Myers 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.