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St. Louis Cardinals
8
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
1
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 12 H, 0 EReds · 2 H, 1 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
bot 9Sal Stewart strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Elly De La Cruz flies out to center fielder Victor Scott II.
bot 9JJ Bleday walks.
top 9JJ Wetherholt grounds out, second baseman Spencer Steer to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
top 9Victor Scott II walks.
top 9César Prieto flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.
top 9Bryan Torres homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Masyn Winn scores.81

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Torres 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jordan Walker 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Victor Scott II 3-4
Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nathaniel Lowe 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Blake Dunn 1-3 · Elly De La Cruz 0-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.