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Washington Nationals
8
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
7
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 10 H, 1 EReds · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Blake Dunn grounds out, second baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 10Tyler Stephenson walks.
bot 10Nathaniel Lowe grounds out to first baseman Luis García Jr. Spencer Steer to 3rd.
bot 10Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Spencer Steer doubles (7) to left center field, on fan interference. Sal Stewart scores.87
bot 10JJ Bleday strikes out on a foul tip. Sal Stewart to 3rd.
top 10Luis García Jr. flies out to right fielder Blake Dunn.
top 10Joey Wiemer flies out to right fielder Blake Dunn.
top 10Daylen Lile homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. CJ Abrams scores.86

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Daylen Lile 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Keibert Ruiz 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · CJ Abrams 2-5
Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler Stephenson 1-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 2-5 · Spencer Steer 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.