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Houston Astros
0
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
5
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789311
Astros · 3 H, 0 EReds · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Isaac Paredes strikes out swinging.
top 9Yordan Alvarez strikes out swinging.
top 9Jose Altuve grounds out, pitcher Graham Ashcraft to first baseman Spencer Steer.
bot 8Spencer Steer flies out to center fielder Brice Matthews.
bot 8Will Benson strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Ke'Bryan Hayes lines out to center fielder Brice Matthews.
top 8César Salazar flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.
top 8Nick Allen called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
15 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 1-4 · César Salazar 1-3 · Jose Altuve 1-4
Cincinnati Reds
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Elly De La Cruz 3-4 · Spencer Steer 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Sal Stewart 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.