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Houston Astros
1
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
3
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678913
Astros · 4 H, 2 EReds · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Cam Smith grounds out softly, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to first baseman Spencer Steer.
top 9Christian Walker lines out sharply to center fielder Dane Myers.
top 9Isaac Paredes grounds out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to first baseman Spencer Steer.
bot 8Sal Stewart flies out sharply to center fielder Brice Matthews.
bot 8Elly De La Cruz grounds out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 8JJ Bleday flies out to left fielder Zach Dezenzo.
top 8Yordan Alvarez called out on strikes.
top 8Jose Altuve flies out sharply to center fielder Dane Myers.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
15 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 8 batters faced over the last two days
Braden Shewmake 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Zach Cole 1-2 · Jose Altuve 1-4
Cincinnati Reds
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Elly De La Cruz 2-4, 1 RBI · Sal Stewart 1-4 · Matt McLain 1-3, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.