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Detroit Tigers
8
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
3
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 12 H, 1 EReds · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ke'Bryan Hayes flies out sharply to center fielder Javier Báez.
bot 9Tyler Stephenson pops out to second baseman Gleyber Torres.
bot 9Dane Myers singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kerry Carpenter.
bot 9Spencer Steer grounds out, third baseman Hao-Yu Lee to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Matt Vierling walks.
top 9Kerry Carpenter grounds out to first baseman Sal Stewart. Spencer Torkelson to 3rd.
top 9Spencer Torkelson doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder TJ Friedl.
bot 8Nathaniel Lowe flies out to left fielder Matt Vierling.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 48 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Torkelson 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Gleyber Torres 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Hao-Yu Lee 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Nathaniel Lowe 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · JJ Bleday 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.