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Detroit Tigers
8
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
9
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 11 H, 1 EReds · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nathaniel Lowe homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Spencer Steer scores.89
bot 9Spencer Steer singles on a line drive to right fielder Kerry Carpenter.
bot 9Sal Stewart strikes out swinging.
bot 9Elly De La Cruz flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
top 9Riley Greene flies out to right fielder Rece Hinds.
top 9Dillon Dingler walks.
top 9Matt Vierling grounds out, third baseman Sal Stewart to first baseman Spencer Steer.
top 9Kevin McGonigle grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Spencer Steer.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Riley Greene 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Torkelson 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Javier Báez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Nathaniel Lowe 2-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Matt McLain 2-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.