Statball

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San Francisco Giants
1
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
2
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111
Giants · 7 H, 0 EReds · 3 H, 1 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Daniel Susac flies out sharply to left fielder Will Benson.
top 9Heliot Ramos strikes out swinging.
top 9Jung Hoo Lee flies out to right fielder Rece Hinds.
bot 8Matt McLain flies out to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee in foul territory.
bot 8Dane Myers lines out to center fielder Jared Oliva.
bot 8Ke'Bryan Hayes grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman Rafael Devers.
top 8Casey Schmitt strikes out swinging.
top 8Rafael Devers walks.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Willy Adames 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis Arraez 3-4 · Jung Hoo Lee 2-4
Cincinnati Reds
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Steer 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.