Statball

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San Francisco Giants
3
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
8
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 9 H, 0 EReds · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jerar Encarnacion flies out to right fielder Rece Hinds.
top 9Heliot Ramos strikes out swinging.
top 9Daniel Susac flies out to right fielder Rece Hinds in foul territory. Jung Hoo Lee to 3rd.
top 9Jung Hoo Lee doubles (6) on a line drive to center fielder Dane Myers.
bot 8Elly De La Cruz called out on strikes.
bot 8Matt McLain walks.
bot 8TJ Friedl lines out to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee.
bot 8Ke'Bryan Hayes lines into a force out, right fielder Jerar Encarnacion to shortstop Willy Adames. Tyler Stephenson out at 2nd. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 1st.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 2-4 · Daniel Susac 2-4, 2 RBI · Jerar Encarnacion 1-2
Cincinnati Reds
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 2-4, 2 HR, 6 RBI · Eugenio Suárez 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.