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Boston Red Sox
2
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
3
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 7 H, 0 EReds · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Trevor Story flies out to center fielder Dane Myers.
top 9Emilio Pagán intentionally walks Roman Anthony.
top 9Ceddanne Rafaela lines out to left fielder TJ Friedl.
top 9Andruw Monasterio doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder TJ Friedl.
top 9Masataka Yoshida flies out to left fielder TJ Friedl.
bot 8Spencer Steer flies out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
bot 8Eugenio Suárez walks.
bot 8Sal Stewart doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Masataka Yoshida.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Wilyer Abreu 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Connor Wong 2-3 · Willson Contreras 1-3
Cincinnati Reds
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Eugenio Suárez 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Sal Stewart 2-2 · Dane Myers 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.