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Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
2
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892
Pirates · 4 H, 0 EReds · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nick Gonzales pops out to second baseman Matt McLain.
top 9Spencer Horwitz flies out to left fielder TJ Friedl.
top 9Jared Triolo called out on strikes.
top 9Ryan O'Hearn walks. Marcell Ozuna to 2nd.
top 9Marcell Ozuna walks.
bot 8Eugenio Suárez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Sal Stewart called out on strikes.
bot 8Elly De La Cruz called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Horwitz 1-4 · Brandon Lowe 1-2 · Ryan O'Hearn 1-2
Cincinnati Reds
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Elly De La Cruz 1-3 · Sal Stewart 1-2 · Will Benson 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.