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Boston Red Sox
3
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
0
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912
Sox · 12 H, 1 EReds · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Dane Myers flies out to left fielder Roman Anthony.
bot 9Tyler Stephenson flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
bot 9Spencer Steer flies out sharply to left fielder Roman Anthony.
top 9Willson Contreras pops out to catcher Tyler Stephenson in foul territory.
top 9Jarren Duran singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Roman Anthony scores. Trevor Story to 3rd.30
top 9Trevor Story singles on a line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Marcelo Mayer scores. Roman Anthony to 2nd.20
top 9Ceddanne Rafaela flies out to left fielder Spencer Steer.
top 9Carlos Narváez strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Roman Anthony 3-4 · Jarren Duran 2-5, 1 RBI · Ceddanne Rafaela 2-4, 1 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 3-4 · Elly De La Cruz 1-4 · Dane Myers 0-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.