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Pittsburgh Pirates
4
100% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
2
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 10 H, 0 ESox · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Miguel Vargas called out on strikes.
bot 9Edgar Quero grounds out sharply, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 9Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.
top 9Konnor Griffin called out on strikes.
top 9Jared Triolo singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Tristan Peters.
top 9Rafael Flores Jr. flies out sharply to left fielder Randal Grichuk.
bot 8Chase Meidroth lines into an unassisted double play, third baseman Jared Triolo. Randal Grichuk out at 3rd.
bot 8Tristan Peters hit by pitch.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Esmerlyn Valdez 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Lowe 2-4 · Jacob Gonzalez 1-2
Chicago White Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Munetaka Murakami 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Randal Grichuk 2-4 · Tristan Peters 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.