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New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
2
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111
Mets · 7 H, 0 ESox · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Tristan Peters homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.12
bot 9Chase Meidroth grounds out, third baseman Bo Bichette to first baseman Jared Young.
top 9A.J. Ewing strikes out swinging.
top 9Marcus Semien walks. Luis Robert Jr. to 3rd. Jared Young to 2nd.
top 9Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
top 9Jared Young singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Carson Benge scores. Luis Robert Jr. to 2nd.11
top 9Luis Robert Jr. walks. Carson Benge to 2nd.
top 9Carson Benge singles on a fly ball to left fielder Tristan Peters.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Benge 2-4 · Francisco Lindor 2-4 · Luis Robert Jr. 1-2
Chicago White Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Peters 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Andrew Benintendi 1-3, 1 RBI · Sam Antonacci 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.