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New York Mets
4
0% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
6
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 8 H, 0 ESox · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jake Rogers homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Braden Montgomery scores.46
bot 9Luisangel Acuña grounds out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Jared Young. Braden Montgomery to 3rd.
bot 9Brenton Doyle out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Jared Young. Braden Montgomery to 2nd.
bot 9Colson Montgomery walks.
top 9Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
top 9Marcus Semien pops out to third baseman Miguel Vargas.
top 9Brett Baty called out on strikes.
top 9Luis Robert Jr. walks.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brett Baty 2-4, 2 RBI · Marcus Semien 2-4, 1 RBI
Chicago White Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Randal Grichuk 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Miguel Vargas 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Colson Montgomery 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.