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New York Mets
10
100% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
5
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789133121211
Mets · 16 H, 0 ESox · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Chase Meidroth grounds out, third baseman Bo Bichette to first baseman Jared Young.
bot 9Colson Montgomery strikes out swinging.
bot 9Braden Montgomery strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Andrew Benintendi singles on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Miguel Vargas to 3rd.
bot 9Miguel Vargas walks.
top 9Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
top 9Marcus Semien grounds out, second baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
top 9Luis Torrens homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Jared Young scores.105

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Robert Jr. 2-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Carson Benge 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Bo Bichette 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Chicago White Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Peters 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Braden Montgomery 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Chase Meidroth 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.