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New York Yankees
1
0% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
2
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891011111
Yankees · 6 H, 0 ESox · 6 H, 1 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 11Tristan Peters walks. Chase Meidroth scores. Munetaka Murakami to 3rd. Sam Antonacci to 2nd.12
bot 11Colson Montgomery strikes out swinging.
bot 11Sam Antonacci singles on a ground ball to first baseman Ben Rice. Chase Meidroth to 3rd. Munetaka Murakami to 2nd.
bot 11Miguel Vargas strikes out swinging.
bot 11Fernando Cruz intentionally walks Munetaka Murakami.
top 11Anthony Volpe grounds out, third baseman Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
top 11Seranthony Domínguez intentionally walks Jazz Chisholm Jr.
top 11Max Schuemann strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trent Grisham 2-4, 1 RBI · Spencer Jones 1-3 · Jasson Domínguez 1-5
Chicago White Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Randal Grichuk 2-2 · Munetaka Murakami 1-4 · Edgar Quero 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.