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New York Yankees
9
100% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
5
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789414311
Yankees · 10 H, 1 ESox · 11 H, 3 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Chase Meidroth strikes out swinging.
bot 9Colson Montgomery reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Anthony Volpe. Sam Antonacci scores. Munetaka Murakami to 3rd.95
bot 9Miguel Vargas lines out sharply to left fielder Max Schuemann.
bot 9Munetaka Murakami walks. Sam Antonacci to 2nd.
bot 9Sam Antonacci singles on a ground ball to third baseman José Caballero.
bot 9Andrew Benintendi strikes out swinging.
top 9Jasson Domínguez pops into a double play, third baseman Miguel Vargas to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Ben Rice out at 1st.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt flies out to center fielder Tristan Peters.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ali Sánchez 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jasson Domínguez 2-5 · Ben Rice 2-4, 1 RBI
Chicago White Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Colson Montgomery 3-4, 2 RBI · Luisangel Acuña 1-3 · Randal Grichuk 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.