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Houston Astros
4
100% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
1
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 6 H, 1 ESox · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Braden Montgomery strikes out swinging.
bot 9Luisangel Acuña strikes out swinging.
bot 9Colson Montgomery singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Miguel Vargas scores.41
bot 9Miguel Vargas singles on a line drive to center fielder Lucas Spence. Miguel Vargas to 2nd. Miguel Vargas advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by center fielder Lucas Spence.
bot 9Munetaka Murakami flies out to center fielder Lucas Spence.
top 9Cam Smith flies out to center fielder Tristan Peters.
top 9Lucas Spence lines out to center fielder Tristan Peters.
top 9Yainer Diaz flies out to center fielder Tristan Peters.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jeremy Peña 3-4 · Isaac Paredes 2-4, 3 RBI · LaMonte Wade Jr. 1-3
Chicago White Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Peters 1-2 · Munetaka Murakami 1-4 · Colson Montgomery 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.