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Kansas City Royals
1
0% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
22
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 4 H, 1 ESox · 23 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Michael Massey grounds out, third baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Jacob Gonzalez.
top 9Lane Thomas strikes out swinging.
top 9Jac Caglianone strikes out swinging.
bot 8Tristan Peters flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 8Braden Montgomery grounds into a double play, pitcher Tyler Tolbert to shortstop Josh Rojas to first baseman Salvador Perez. Luisangel Acuña to 3rd. Chase Meidroth out at 2nd. Braden Montgomery out at 1st.
bot 8Chase Meidroth walks. Luisangel Acuña to 2nd.
bot 8Luisangel Acuña singles on a line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
top 8Bobby Witt Jr. flies out to right fielder Braden Montgomery.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 1-4 · Josh Rojas 1-3 · Isaac Collins 1-3
Chicago White Sox
11 on the injured list · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Jacob Gonzalez 3-4, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Miguel Vargas 3-6, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Tristan Peters 2-5, 1 HR, 6 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.