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Cleveland Guardians
1
0% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
2
100% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 6 H, 1 ESox · 3 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Austin Hedges strikes out swinging.
top 9Steven Kwan lines out to shortstop Luisangel Acuña.
top 9Kahlil Watson flies out to left fielder Sam Antonacci.
bot 8Miguel Vargas strikes out swinging.
bot 8Drew Romo grounds out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
bot 8Sam Antonacci grounds out to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
top 8Stuart Fairchild called out on strikes.
top 8Rhys Hoskins walks.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Kahlil Watson 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Austin Hedges 2-3 · Petey Halpin 1-1
Chicago White Sox
11 on the injured list · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Miguel Vargas 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Randal Grichuk 1-3 · Colson Montgomery 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.