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Detroit Tigers
3
0% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
4
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 4 H, 1 ESox · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Miguel Vargas homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Drew Romo scores.34
bot 10Derek Hill grounds out, third baseman Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 10Sam Antonacci strikes out swinging.
top 10Kevin McGonigle called out on strikes.
top 10Zack Short out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Rikuu Nishida. Matt Vierling scores.32
top 10Zach McKinstry out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Colson Montgomery to first baseman Miguel Vargas. Matt Vierling to 3rd.
bot 9Drew Romo grounds out, first baseman Spencer Torkelson to pitcher Kyle Finnegan.
bot 9Rikuu Nishida out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Kyle Finnegan to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Andrew Benintendi scores. Throwing error by first baseman Spencer Torkelson.22

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
13 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Dillon Dingler 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Riley Greene 2-4 · Matt Vierling 1-3
Chicago White Sox
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Miguel Vargas 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Tristan Peters 2-4 · Sam Antonacci 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.