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Chicago Cubs
8
0% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
9
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 9 H, 1 ESox · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Edgar Quero homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Chase Meidroth scores.89
top 10Seiya Suzuki strikes out swinging.
top 10Tyler Davis intentionally walks Ian Happ.
top 10Alex Bregman grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Dansby Swanson scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Michael Busch to 2nd.87
top 10Tyler Davis intentionally walks Michael Busch.
top 10Nico Hoerner reaches on a fielder's choice out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to catcher Edgar Quero to third baseman Miguel Vargas to pitcher Tyler Davis. Pete Crow-Armstrong out at home. Dansby Swanson to 3rd. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.
top 10Dansby Swanson walks.
bot 9Chase Meidroth lines out to left fielder Ian Happ.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Conforto 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Michael Busch 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alex Bregman 2-5, 2 RBI
Chicago White Sox
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Edgar Quero 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Tristan Peters 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Andrew Benintendi 3-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.