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Chicago Cubs
3
0% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
8
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 8 H, 0 ESox · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nico Hoerner grounds out, second baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
top 9Miguel Amaya flies out to right fielder Jarred Kelenic.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Michael Conforto scores.38
top 9Matt Shaw strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Michael Conforto doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jarred Kelenic.
bot 8Randal Grichuk strikes out swinging.
bot 8Chase Meidroth grounds out, shortstop Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 8Colson Montgomery grounds out, second baseman Matt Shaw to first baseman Michael Busch.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Miguel Amaya 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alex Bregman 2-4
Chicago White Sox
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Munetaka Murakami 2-3, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Andrew Benintendi 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Colson Montgomery 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.