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Chicago Cubs
10
100% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
5
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789112241211
Cubs · 14 H, 0 ESox · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Sam Antonacci grounds into a double play, second baseman Nico Hoerner to shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch. Drew Romo out at 2nd. Sam Antonacci out at 1st.
bot 9Drew Romo singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
bot 9Tristan Peters flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 9Jarred Kelenic homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.105
top 9Alex Bregman lines out sharply to third baseman Miguel Vargas.
top 9Michael Busch walks.
top 9Nico Hoerner grounds out, pitcher Tyler Schweitzer to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
top 9Dansby Swanson grounds out, second baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Kelly 3-5, 4 RBI · Ian Happ 2-4, 1 RBI · Alex Bregman 2-5
Chicago White Sox
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Colson Montgomery 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Miguel Vargas 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jarred Kelenic 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.