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Kansas City Royals
5
0% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
6
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 11 H, 1 ESox · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Salvador Perez flies out to right fielder Derek Hill in foul territory.
top 9Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out, second baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
top 9Bobby Witt Jr. lines out to right fielder Derek Hill.
bot 8Drew Romo strikes out swinging.
bot 8Derek Hill homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.56
bot 8Randal Grichuk grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 8Edgar Quero flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 8Maikel Garcia grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Salvador Perez 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Vinnie Pasquantino 2-4
Chicago White Sox
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Chase Meidroth 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Drew Romo 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Derek Hill 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.