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Seattle Mariners
1
0% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
2
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912
Mariners · 7 H, 0 ESox · 5 H, 1 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brendan Donovan grounds out to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
top 9Cole Young pops out to shortstop Colson Montgomery on the infield fly rule.
top 9Rob Refsnyder walks. Connor Joe to 3rd. J.P. Crawford to 2nd.
top 9J.P. Crawford singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tristan Peters. Connor Joe to 2nd.
top 9Connor Joe singles on a line drive to right fielder Tristan Peters.
bot 8Colson Montgomery strikes out swinging.
bot 8Miguel Vargas out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Drew Romo scores.12
bot 8Eduard Bazardo intentionally walks Munetaka Murakami.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
8 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 2-3 · Connor Joe 2-2 · Randy Arozarena 1-3, 1 RBI
Chicago White Sox
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Randal Grichuk 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Munetaka Murakami 1-3 · Chase Meidroth 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.