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Seattle Mariners
1
0% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
6
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912211
Mariners · 4 H, 0 ESox · 9 H, 2 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Cole Young grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
top 9Mitch Garver flies out to right fielder Jarred Kelenic.
top 9J.P. Crawford grounds out, third baseman Miguel Vargas to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
bot 8Sam Antonacci strikes out swinging.
bot 8Edgar Quero out on a sacrifice fly. Chase Meidroth scores. Jarred Kelenic to 3rd. Randal Grichuk out at 2nd. Edgar Quero to 1st.16
bot 8Tristan Peters out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Leo Rivas to second baseman Cole Young. Chase Meidroth to 3rd. Jarred Kelenic to 2nd.
bot 8Jarred Kelenic walks.
bot 8Chase Meidroth doubles (9) on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
8 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Julio Rodríguez 2-3 · Josh Naylor 1-4 · Randy Arozarena 1-4
Chicago White Sox
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Miguel Vargas 2-3, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Colson Montgomery 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tristan Peters 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.