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Seattle Mariners
12
100% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
8
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 12 H, 0 ESox · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Colson Montgomery strikes out swinging.
bot 9Miguel Vargas grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 9Munetaka Murakami strikes out swinging.
bot 9Randal Grichuk homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.128
top 9Rob Refsnyder strikes out swinging.
top 9Luke Raley called out on strikes.
top 9J.P. Crawford grounds out, second baseman Luisangel Acuña to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
bot 8Drew Romo lines out to second baseman Cole Young.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
8 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Luke Raley 2-5, 2 HR, 7 RBI · Josh Naylor 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Julio Rodríguez 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Chicago White Sox
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Randal Grichuk 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Munetaka Murakami 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Sam Antonacci 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.