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Washington Nationals
4
0% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
5
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 6 H, 1 ESox · 8 H, 2 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9James Wood strikes out swinging.
top 9José Tena grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Joey Wiemer to 3rd.
top 9Luis García Jr. doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Luisangel Acuña.
top 9Nasim Nuñez called out on strikes.
bot 8Tristan Peters flies out sharply to center fielder Jacob Young.
bot 8Luisangel Acuña walks.
bot 8Sam Antonacci out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Daylen Lile. Miguel Vargas scores. Colson Montgomery to 3rd.45
bot 8Edgar Quero out on a sacrifice bunt, first baseman Luis García Jr. to second baseman Nasim Nuñez. Miguel Vargas to 3rd. Colson Montgomery to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Brady House 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Luis García Jr. 2-3, 1 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 1-3
Chicago White Sox
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Munetaka Murakami 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Miguel Vargas 2-4 · Tristan Peters 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.