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Washington Nationals
2
100% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
1
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 4 H, 1 ESox · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Miguel Vargas strikes out swinging.
bot 10Tristan Peters singles on a line drive to center fielder Joey Wiemer. Derek Hill scores.21
bot 10Drew Romo grounds out, pitcher Paxton Schultz to first baseman Curtis Mead.
top 10Luis García Jr. flies out sharply to center fielder Tristan Peters.
top 10José Tena homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.20
top 10CJ Abrams out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tanner Murray. Daylen Lile scores.10
top 10Jorbit Vivas grounds out to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Daylen Lile to 3rd.
bot 9Derek Hill called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 50 batters faced over the last two days
José Tena 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 1-3 · James Wood 1-3
Chicago White Sox
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 53 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Peters 1-1, 1 RBI · Tanner Murray 1-3 · Chase Meidroth 1-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.