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Baltimore Orioles
5
100% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
3
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678922121
Orioles · 7 H, 2 ESox · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Colson Montgomery grounds out, second baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle.
bot 9Miguel Vargas walks. Tristan Peters to 2nd.
bot 9Munetaka Murakami strikes out swinging.
bot 9Chase Meidroth strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Tristan Peters walks.
top 9Pete Alonso strikes out swinging.
top 9Adley Rutschman flies out to right fielder Dustin Harris in foul territory.
top 9Taylor Ward doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Gunnar Henderson scores.53

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Ward 4-5, 2 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 1-4 · Tyler O'Neill 1-2
Chicago White Sox
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 54 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Peters 1-3 · Luisangel Acuña 1-4, 1 RBI · Dustin Harris 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.