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Baltimore Orioles
4
100% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
2
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789132
Orioles · 8 H, 1 ESox · 6 H, 2 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Derek Hill flies out to center fielder Leody Taveras.
bot 9Munetaka Murakami strikes out swinging.
bot 9Tristan Peters called out on strikes.
bot 9Dustin Harris walks.
top 9Blaze Alexander grounds into a double play, third baseman Tanner Murray to second baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Lenyn Sosa. Coby Mayo out at 2nd. Blaze Alexander out at 1st.
top 9Coby Mayo walks.
top 9Leody Taveras out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Bryan Hudson to first baseman Lenyn Sosa. Jeremiah Jackson to 2nd.
top 9Jeremiah Jackson hit by pitch.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tyler O'Neill 2-3 · Blaze Alexander 2-4
Chicago White Sox
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Chase Meidroth 2-4, 1 RBI · Lenyn Sosa 1-4, 1 RBI · Luisangel Acuña 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.