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Baltimore Orioles
2
100% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
1
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111
Orioles · 7 H, 1 ESox · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Edgar Quero strikes out swinging.
bot 9Andrew Benintendi singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Blaze Alexander. Miguel Vargas to 3rd.
bot 9Lenyn Sosa grounds out sharply, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso. Munetaka Murakami scores.21
bot 9Colson Montgomery grounds out sharply, first baseman Pete Alonso to pitcher Ryan Helsley. Munetaka Murakami to 3rd. Miguel Vargas to 2nd.
bot 9Miguel Vargas walks. Munetaka Murakami to 2nd.
bot 9Munetaka Murakami walks.
top 9Tyler O'Neill grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
top 9Pete Alonso grounds out, third baseman Miguel Vargas to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan Mountcastle 2-3 · Jeremiah Jackson 1-3
Chicago White Sox
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 47 batters faced over the last two days
Chase Meidroth 2-3 · Austin Hays 1-1 · Andrew Benintendi 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.