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Toronto Blue Jays
4
0% — our call
Final
Chicago White Sox
5
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityChicago White Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 7 H, 2 ESox · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Tristan Peters singles on a line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Derek Hill scores.45
bot 10Derek Hill singles on a bunt ground ball to catcher Tyler Heineman. Miguel Vargas scores. Derek Hill to 2nd. Derek Hill advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by catcher Tyler Heineman.44
bot 10Austin Hays strikes out swinging.
bot 10Colson Montgomery grounds out to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Miguel Vargas to 3rd.
top 10Jesús Sánchez grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
top 10Umpire reviewed (play at 1st), call on the field was upheld: George Springer reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Miguel Vargas. Davis Schneider scores.43
top 10Andrés Giménez strikes out swinging.
top 10Ernie Clement grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Davis Schneider to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Andrés Giménez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ernie Clement 1-4 · Daulton Varsho 1-4
Chicago White Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Peters 2-5, 1 RBI · Edgar Quero 2-4 · Luisangel Acuña 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.