Statball

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Miami Marlins
1
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
2
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 5 H, 0 ECubs · 6 H, 1 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Griffin Conine grounds out, pitcher Ryan Zeferjahn to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Kyle Stowers grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Agustín Ramírez pops out to catcher Carson Kelly in foul territory.
bot 8Pedro Ramírez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Nico Hoerner grounds out, third baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Deyvison De Los Santos.
bot 8Ian Happ grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Deyvison De Los Santos.
top 8Javier Sanoja pops out to third baseman Pedro Ramírez in foul territory.
top 8Jakob Marsee flies out to second baseman Nico Hoerner.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jakob Marsee 1-3, 1 RBI · Javier Sanoja 1-4 · Agustín Ramírez 1-4
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Seiya Suzuki 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ian Happ 1-3 · Pedro Ramírez 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.