Statball

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Miami Marlins
8
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
2
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 11 H, 1 ECubs · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 12Ian Happ grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Griffin Conine.
bot 12Matt Shaw strikes out swinging.
bot 12Michael Busch strikes out on a foul tip.
top 12Griffin Conine grounds out, pitcher Edward Cabrera to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 12Esteury Ruiz strikes out swinging.
top 12Joe Mack singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Otto Lopez scores. Kyle Stowers scores. Javier Sanoja to 2nd.8–2
top 12Javier Sanoja singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Heriberto Hernández scores. Otto Lopez to 3rd. Kyle Stowers to 2nd.6–2
top 12Kyle Stowers walks. Jakob Marsee scores. Heriberto Hernández to 3rd. Otto Lopez to 2nd.5–2

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Stowers 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Javier Sanoja 2-5, 1 RBI · Joe Mack 2-3, 2 RBI
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 2-4 · Seiya Suzuki 2-6 · Ian Happ 1-6, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.